Agreement between models doesnt get any better than this between models for next weekends storm. Deep low diving into BC with powerful gradients south over WA/OR. Impressive ensembles keep popping up on the EURO, always something to watch this season it seems. #wawx#orwx
Completely unnecessary but fun update: GFS & Euro backing off snow first week of December. Doesn't mean it can't happen, but it's somewhat less likely now. Potential for stronger arctic outbreaks later on, possibly after 12/10 (again, that's way into fantasy range). #wawx
@SeattleWXGuy (2/2) Both Euro and NWS blend are more cautious, both with less than an inch of snow. The point is not that a big storm is likely, but that conditions are still looking good for snow potential. Will follow up within acceptable range.
(1/2) Time for some fantasy forecasts (inspired by @SeattleWXGuy): GFS puts Seattle at 11.7 inches of snow depth from 5th-7th. Euro has some agreement with a weak but measurable storm (~.1 inches). Still 7+ days out, so don't start getting excited just yet.
50 years ago today was the infamous DB Cooper hijacking and heist. While many mysteries remain about his fate, one thing is for sure: He picked the worst possible time of year to be jumping out of an airplane into the rugged woods of SW Washington: #wawx
#newblogpost#Winter#snow#weather Before we get into Meteorological Winter (December 1st) I'll publish my latest blog post, Pacific Northwest Snow and what you need to know, which also links to my new website.
So about that ❄️potential...
Almost all ensembles move a ridge of high pressure (🟥) off Asia at the end of Nov & into the Aleutians during 1st week of Dec. This is generally what we want to see to get a trough of cold air (🟦) downstream over the PNW. 12z EPS shows this well...