(((David Shor))) Profile
(((David Shor)))

@davidshor

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Head of Data Science at Blue Rose Research, based in NYC with @ashe_cs , originally from Miami. I try to elect Democrats. Views are my own. he/him🌹

New York, NY
Joined November 2007
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@davidshor
(((David Shor)))
a year ago
@Spatch1003 Here's a quick pass of my positive and negative surprises from the last five years. I think on net I'm a little more optimistic about the future than I was in 2015 but not by very much.
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@davidshor
(((David Shor)))
3 days ago
Really interesting paper studying the impact of Texas's roll-backs of access to family planning and abortion services, h/t @TNG512
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@rstatsai
R Conference
5 days ago
Head of Data Science at Blue Rose Research, @davidshor will be giving a talk on how statistics and data science are commonly applied in politics and government! Join in on the fun Dec 9-10: #rstatsgov | #rstats
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@davidshor
(((David Shor)))
12 days ago
Very important thread on education polarization: 1) There have been substantial realignments on education lines everywhere in the West except 🇮🇪 and 🇵🇹 (🇺🇸 has seen income shifts too ) 2) Magnitude of realignments by country strongly associated with party issue-taking/salience.
@amorygethin
Amory Gethin
12 days ago
Hugely excited to announce the publication of our article in @QJEHarvard!🤩 This paper is the outcome of a massive data collection effort that we started with @cmtneztt and @PikettyLeMonde in 2017. A few takeaways on the evolution of political divides in Western democracies 👇
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@davidshor
(((David Shor)))
25 days ago
Excited to share a new job opening for a research manager at Blue Rose Research! Come work with us!
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@davidshor
(((David Shor)))
a month ago
In London until Monday morning! DM me if you want to meet up!
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@SpecialPuppy1
Special Puppy🧦🐵
a month ago
New Chart just dropped
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@QJEHarvard
QJE
a month ago
Recently accepted by #QJE, “Brahmin Left versus Merchant Right: Changing Political Cleavages in 21 Western Democracies, 1948-2020,” by Gethin (@amorygethin), Martínez-Toledano (@cmtneztt), and Piketty (@PikettyLeMonde):
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@davidshor
(((David Shor)))
a month ago
Imagine a Democratic Party that came out of the gate with a JG and the loan shark prevention act, another bill with overwhelming working class support hated by the most educated people in America!
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@davidshor
(((David Shor)))
a month ago
Honestly @Nate_Cohn, this is probably my best guess on the kind of thing that could plausibly make a dent in education polarization: “Remember voluntary unemployment? Gone!”
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@davidshor
(((David Shor)))
a month ago
Honestly bummed that this never made it’s way into the reconciliation package. Super popular with working class voters and seems high salience enough to break through into the discourse!

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@davidshor
(((David Shor)))
a month ago
@IanHaneyLopez @MaxBorowitz @EricMGarcia @ezraklein @jbouie Just to quote my interview on this: Generally as a leftist I think we should do high-salience popular things, moderate or left wing, loudly, and high-impact low salience things quietly, and have the self-awareness and discipline to know which is which
@davidshor
(((David Shor)))
6 months ago
@FuzzyMarth @wkay1919 @insortediablo @Econ_Marshall This was what I said about this in one of my Eric Levitz interviews
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@davidshor
(((David Shor)))
a month ago
@moskov @mattyglesias The gap between donors (who are probably a decent stand in for staffers) and the median Democrat is roughly as large as the gap between the median Democrat and the median Republican!
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@davidshor
(((David Shor)))
a month ago
@ezraklein This is a real point. In the old days politics was unpolarized enough that Democrats could run candidates in swing states that distanced themselves from the party and overcome senate bias. Polarization is now too high for this strategy to work today.
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@davidshor
(((David Shor)))
2 months ago
@SeanMcElwee @DanRiffle @dylanmatt Obama got 52% in 2012 and Biden got 52.3%, but 2012-era polarization/coalitions translated that result to 55 Democratic seats in 2012 while Biden's translated to 50, despite 2012 being preceded by a brutal midterm compared to 2020 being preceded by a D+8 wave.
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@davidshor
(((David Shor)))
2 months ago
If you were rank ordering purely on popularity then pharma drug negotiation, anti-usury laws, and adding dental/vision to Medicare would be at the top. (Expanding social security and wealth taxes aren't labeled but also do very well)
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@Nate_Cohn
Nate Cohn
2 months ago
@jonathanchait @mattyglesias @BenjySarlin @EricLevitz @SeanMcElwee i'd be curious to hear a version of popularism tailored around figuring out what working class people want, and fighting for that, as opposed to trying to figure out how to make working class people like the things that excite progressive activists
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@davidshor
(((David Shor)))
2 months ago
@JohnQuiggin @shorewalker1 The underlying causal mechanism here is that there are giant latent class divides on core values (social trust, racial resentment, openness to new experiences, zero vs positive sum thinking) and as the country as become more educated those value divides have become more salient.
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@davidshor
(((David Shor)))
2 months ago
@JohnQuiggin @TNG512 @shorewalker1 Low SES voters have right wing views on social issues and moderate center left views on economic issues and what has changed is that voting has become more correlated in relative terms with the former and less with the latter
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@davidshor
(((David Shor)))
2 months ago
@Bjornapoor @jbarro @pfrymer Liberals only overtook moderates as the largest faction in the Democratic Party around 2015.
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