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(((Harry Enten))) Profile
(((Harry Enten)))

@ForecasterEnten

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Son of a man who was far from perfect, but I loved him anyway. Host of CNN's Margins of Error, a podcast about statistical stories.

I trust no living human, but I do trust the polls.
Joined April 2010
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@ForecasterEnten
(((Harry Enten)))
2 years ago
Let's start a cute dog thread... Whose got a pup photo they wanna share?
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(((Harry Enten)))
3 hours ago
This is good analysis. I'll note too that a number of pollsters have been reporting somewhat (not greatly) lower first shot vax rates overall than the CDC.
@pbump
Philip Bump
11 hours ago
According to the CDC, 99.9% of seniors have gotten at least one vaccine dose. That's boosted by things like PA having (per the CDC counts) vaccinated 125% of its seniors even as the CDC has reported PA at 99.9% vaccination for more than 100 days.
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@ForecasterEnten
(((Harry Enten)))
2 days ago
Honestly, this SNF game may be the worst played half of football I've ever seen.... And to be clear, I've watched many Bills-Jets games.
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@ForecasterEnten
(((Harry Enten)))
2 days ago
Why we need to stop with the 2024 predictions... The general election polls for an election 3 years away tell us NADA about what will happen in 2024. Biden's approval rating now tells us nothing about what will happen in 3 years. TY.
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@ForecasterEnten
(((Harry Enten)))
3 days ago
Republicans who prefer non-conservative media (i.e. not Fox, Newsmax, or OANN) are 4 times more likely to believe Biden was legitimately elected. They're 32 points less likely to say supporting Trump is very impt to what it means to being a Republican.
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(((Harry Enten)))
6 days ago
Ridiculous facts I was reminded of... My Father was born before the Holland Tunnel, Lincoln Tunnel, and George Washington Bridge (original deck) were completed. In fact, his Father took him to see the GWB getting built. #olderfathers
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@ForecasterEnten
(((Harry Enten)))
7 days ago
There is one constant in the CA recall, NJ Gov, and VA races: Biden. His approval rating was lower than his favorable ratings in 2020 in all three. ~90% of voters cast their ballots in line with how they felt about Biden. The rest is interesting, but mostly noise.
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@ForecasterEnten
(((Harry Enten)))
8 days ago
My personal thoughts on the Covid-19 vaccines are simple: I got my first shot on the first day I was eligible. I got my booster on the first day I was eligible. I think the vaccines are arguably the greatest scientific achievement of the 21st century.
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(((Harry Enten)))
9 days ago
Bills looking awful. Becoming a trend.
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@ForecasterEnten
(((Harry Enten)))
9 days ago
GOP looks favored to take back the Senate (about 3-in-4 times). Based on data back to 06, microanalysis tends to underestimate waves at this point. Given the generic ballot, a majority of seats rated as tossups are likely to be won by the GOP next year.
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@ForecasterEnten
(((Harry Enten)))
12 days ago
It's EXTREMELY unusual for the GOP to have any type of advantage on the generic ballot at this point in a midterm cycle. The few historical analogies all point to a wave next year.
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@ForecasterEnten
(((Harry Enten)))
16 days ago
The polling on O'Rourke in Texas looks rough. The polling on Biden in Texas is not any better. Abbott isn't popular by any means, but he's certainly doing better than the former two.
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(((Harry Enten)))
16 days ago
A worrisome sign that Covid vaccine hesitancy may transfer to other vaccines. Pre-Covid, Democrats & Republicans were equally likely to get a flu shot. This year Democrats are 25 points more likely to get a flu shot than Republicans.
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(((Harry Enten)))
17 days ago
Look at presidential approval at this point in a first term since 1953 & every generic ballot at this point since 1937. A year out, a strong historic correlation on both metrics w/ what what they are in the midterms. History suggests GOP will roll in 2022
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@ForecasterEnten
(((Harry Enten)))
20 days ago
Every time I read something about the Mets, it's so clear how the most lopsided trade in MLB history was the Mets for the Dodgers and Giants. I mean holy cow.
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@ForecasterEnten
(((Harry Enten)))
21 days ago
My uncle @neilsedaka is one of Billboard's most successful pop stars ever. He wrote & sang 3 no. 1s without a team of writers—something that's become very rare. On the latest Margins of Error: How do we measure musical success in the TikTok/streaming era?
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@ForecasterEnten
(((Harry Enten)))
22 days ago
I just received such a nice email. Made me feel happy... If you have the inclination to send a kind email or note or make a call to offer kind words, do it :).
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@ForecasterEnten
(((Harry Enten)))
23 days ago
It's 5:35 and pitch black. LOVE IT.
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@ForecasterEnten
(((Harry Enten)))
23 days ago
Honestly the worst loss for the Bills I can remember. No silver linings.
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